Preseason Rankings
Cal St. Bakersfield
Western Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#197
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.3#295
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#246
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#163
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 6.5% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 43.7% 53.2% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 58.9% 64.7% 48.3%
Conference Champion 4.9% 6.1% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 2.4% 4.6%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round5.2% 6.3% 3.2%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Home) - 64.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 411 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 224   South Dakota St. W 75-71 65%    
  Nov 13, 2019 114   @ Northern Iowa L 59-68 21%    
  Nov 19, 2019 111   @ San Francisco L 63-72 21%    
  Nov 23, 2019 8   @ Gonzaga L 62-84 3%    
  Nov 26, 2019 186   Sam Houston St. W 69-66 59%    
  Nov 29, 2019 245   Hampton W 76-71 68%    
  Dec 03, 2019 160   UC Santa Barbara W 66-65 53%    
  Dec 07, 2019 51   @ Mississippi L 63-78 9%    
  Dec 14, 2019 338   @ Idaho W 69-62 74%    
  Dec 19, 2019 279   Montana St. W 77-70 73%    
  Dec 21, 2019 327   @ Cal Poly W 70-65 66%    
  Dec 29, 2019 13   @ Texas Tech L 55-76 4%    
  Jan 04, 2020 137   Grand Canyon L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 08, 2020 228   California Baptist W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 16, 2020 234   @ UMKC L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 18, 2020 351   @ Chicago St. W 77-65 84%    
  Jan 23, 2020 236   Utah Valley W 71-66 65%    
  Jan 25, 2020 168   Seattle W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 30, 2020 55   @ New Mexico St. L 60-75 10%    
  Feb 01, 2020 230   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 06, 2020 228   @ California Baptist L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 13, 2020 351   Chicago St. W 80-62 93%    
  Feb 15, 2020 234   UMKC W 70-65 65%    
  Feb 20, 2020 236   @ Utah Valley L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 22, 2020 168   @ Seattle L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 27, 2020 230   UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 29, 2020 55   New Mexico St. L 63-72 23%    
  Mar 07, 2020 137   @ Grand Canyon L 65-72 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 4.2 1.9 0.4 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.3 4.0 0.7 0.1 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.9 6.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.0 6.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.9 5.6 1.5 0.1 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.4 4.1 0.9 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.3 2.3 0.5 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.5 8.1 10.6 12.3 13.6 12.8 11.4 9.1 5.9 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
14-2 75.0% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 46.6% 1.7    0.9 0.7 0.1
12-4 16.5% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.6 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 57.4% 41.0% 16.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.8%
15-1 0.6% 42.0% 35.8% 6.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.7%
14-2 1.7% 29.6% 27.8% 1.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 2.4%
13-3 3.6% 21.8% 21.8% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 0.1%
12-4 5.9% 13.4% 13.4% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.1 0.0%
11-5 9.1% 11.4% 11.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 8.0
10-6 11.4% 6.0% 6.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.7
9-7 12.8% 4.3% 4.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 12.3
8-8 13.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.3
7-9 12.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.2
6-10 10.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.5
5-11 8.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.0
4-12 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-13 2.8% 2.8
2-14 1.3% 1.3
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.4% 5.3% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.6 0.8 94.6 0.1%